Vol. 5 No. 4 (2026)
Open Access
Peer Reviewed

PERBANDINGAN AKUMULASI TABUNGAN PENSIUN PADA BERBAGAI TINGKAT INFLASI MENGGUNAKAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO

Authors

Arsyelina Husni Johan , Rosa Andriani , Krishna Prafidya Romantica

DOI:

10.54443/sibatik.v5i4.4102

Published:

2026-03-31

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Abstract

The inflation rate can diminish the value of savings, which impacts the adequacy of savings to meet long-term living needs. This inadequacy can be mitigated by investing in assets with optimal returns under various inflation conditions. Using a stochastic modeling approach, retirement savings accumulation can be projected through Monte Carlo simulation by generating random returns for various combinations and allocations of investment assets. The research findings show that inflation rates affect investment performance, as indicated by differences in investment returns and retirement savings accumulation across different inflation rate categories. The investment performance of the asset combination of deposits and stocks yields the highest savings accumulation in all inflation categories with average exceeding IDR 160 million. Through this study, it is expected that investors or retirees can choose the appropriate asset allocation to build optimal retirement savings.

Keywords:

Asset Allocation Inflation Monte Carlo Retirement Savings

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Author Biographies

Arsyelina Husni Johan, Universitas Terbuka, Indonesia

Author Origin : Indonesia

Rosa Andriani, Universitas Terbuka, Indonesia

Author Origin : Indonesia

Krishna Prafidya Romantica, Universitas Terbuka, Indonesia

Author Origin : Indonesia

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How to Cite

Husni Johan, A., Andriani, R., & Prafidya Romantica, K. (2026). PERBANDINGAN AKUMULASI TABUNGAN PENSIUN PADA BERBAGAI TINGKAT INFLASI MENGGUNAKAN SIMULASI MONTE CARLO. SIBATIK JOURNAL: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan, 5(4), 1970–1984. https://doi.org/10.54443/sibatik.v5i4.4102

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